Twelve games. Season results through 28 October, posted lines from the web, and my most likely outcome for each game.
Tap a game to open all its stats: lineups, injuries, lines, team and player numbers, and slips.
Win, draw and loss chances for every upcoming game. Each blends the bookmaker-style probability with my own form rating from the league table.
Most likely result for each fixture. The bar and circle colour show confidence: green high, yellow medium, red low.
Provider chance: the win, draw and loss probabilities published for each fixture.
My form rating: points per game for each side from the table, a home edge, and a flat 26% draw share, turned into a three-way chance.
Champions League: the provider chance is DraftKings' moneyline for each fixture with the bookmaker margin removed, and my form rating is a goals model built from each club's games this season in all competitions, with a home edge.
Final chance: 50% provider plus 50% my form rating. The pick is the most likely of home, draw or away. High is 60% or more, Medium is 48% or more, otherwise Low (close to a coin toss).
Limits: no goals data yet, so there are no over/under goals, both-teams-to-score, lineups, injuries or player props for football. Form ratings use only this season's points per game, and the sample is under ten games per team. This is not betting advice.
Per game. Regular season and playoffs, from ESPN game logs.
Open a game to see how he has played against that team over the last three seasons.
His last 15 games, newest first.
Every pro fight, inside and outside the UFC.
Newest first. Open a UFC fight for its strike and takedown numbers.
Each cell shows the total, then the per-game average in brackets. Regular season, from ESPN game logs.
Open a game to see how he has played against that team over the last three seasons.
His last 12 games, newest first.
This season's leaders. Tap a player for his page.
Newest first. Tap an opponent for their team page.
The full pre-game breakdown for this one wasn't saved: it was graded before Review started keeping each game's stats. Every game graded from now on opens its full page here.
Side by side: the stronger number in each row is highlighted.
Every announced fight with records, odds where posted and a basic win chance. Dates and times are Sydney time. Open a fight's All stats for age, reach, striking and takedown numbers and the striker vs wrestler matchup notes.
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Each blends the bookmaker lines with a scoring model from this season's results. More stats will be added here as we go.
Tap "Stats and breakdown" on any game for records, scoring and form. Colour shows confidence.
Tap a heading to sort. Points are per game this season.
Model score: each side's points per game blended with what the other side allows (home and away splits included), plus a small home edge.
Final spread and total: 35% model, 65% bookmaker line. Win chance: 40% model, 60% moneyline price with the bookmaker margin removed.
Confidence: High needs about 68% or more with the model and market agreeing on the winner. Medium needs 58% or more. A total lean needs the model to be 3 or more points off the posted total.
Limits: seven weeks of games, injuries and lineups are in each game's breakdown but are not yet worked into the model score, and weather is not in, and the lines are the best prices across several books so numbers can differ slightly by book. This is not betting advice.
Every pick against the final result, across all sports.
✓ right, ✗ wrong. Tap a pick for why it went that way.
Winner picks right, then side bets (totals, both teams to score, spreads). Pushes and coin tosses are not counted.
StatSniper is for information and entertainment only. Picks and chances are estimates, not betting advice, and nothing here is guaranteed. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Need help? Gambling Help Online (Australia): 1800 858 858, 24/7.